SocGen's Edwards: I was wrong, I was too optimistic!

'Shocking slump' into outright deflation

Tom Eckett
clock • 2 min read

Société Générale's bearish analyst Albert Edwards has said the mounting evidence which suggests inflation has already slid into deflation will result in the US 10-year treasury yields converging with Japan and Germany at around -1%, and the next recession will be deeper than even he previously thought.

Permabear Edwards (pictured) said if one looks at core Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation then it highlights a "shocking slump" into outright deflation over the past six months. Despite this, however, the analyst said the Federal Reserve should still begin to normalise interest rates in order to accommodate for the next inevitable recession. He said: "If I were a Fed governor I would be pretty shocked/concerned/bemused at inflation developments this year. However confident the Fed is of a self-sustaining-recovery, there is growing evidence of a slide into outright deflation. "Def...

To continue reading this article...

Join Investment Week for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
  • Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
  • Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
  • Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
  • Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes

Join now

 

Already an Investment Week
member?

Login

More on Markets

Investors turn defensive in January as rate cut expectations change

Investors turn defensive in January as rate cut expectations change

State Street Risk Appetite index

clock 08 February 2024 • 1 min read
London remains 'key destination' for IPOs

London remains 'key destination' for IPOs

KMPG survey of ECM leaders

Cristian Angeloni
clock 15 January 2024 • 2 min read
Market Movers Blog: S&P 500 hits 5,000 mark for the first time

Market Movers Blog: S&P 500 hits 5,000 mark for the first time

Latest news and analysis

Investment Week
clock 09 January 2024 • 1 min read
Trustpilot